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DXY / USD strength

indexTrending (ADX 41)
99.68+0.52%
Delayed · Actual · yahoo · as of 8/28/2026, 8:59:59 PM UTC
Need evidenceChart leans down1D chart52% model scoreLow conviction~52% backtest hit proxyLive chart read71% agreementagents right 42% here

4 of 5 timeframes rising — aligned up

15M risingADX 42.1 · 42%30M risingADX 56.5 · 90%1H risingADX 36.1 · 73%4H risingADX 26.1 · 60%1D fallingADX 41 · 73%

The 15m, 30m, 1H and 4H charts are all moving against the daily downtrend right now. The call is wrong if price closes above 99.9506 or the daily trend gate drops.

Bearish read on DXY: down trend with strength 0.72 (ADX 41). Backtested hit rate for this signal grade is about 52% over 5 days.

Path: loose trend (R² 0.631).

Run deeper analysisSave as setup

Price Chart

Trending (ADX 41)
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Overlays🔒 Core

Yellow cone: the ±1σ expected range fanning forward from now, widening with √time over the next 5 sessions (from realized volatility). It answers “where” as a range, not a direction — about 1 in 3 moves ends OUTSIDE it, so it is a range to study, not a boundary or a target.

In the news

No recent tracked headlines for this market.

News & Events

quiet
No recent tracked headlines

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The Read

DXY / USD strength: Trending (ADX 41). Likely range over the next 5 sessions is about 98.5368–99.7833. Bearish lean, low conviction. This is context, not a prediction.

The Read

DXY / USD strength
Current lean
Bearish lean · Low conviction
Expected range
98.5368–99.78335 sessions · ±0.629%
Market state
Trending (ADX 41) · counter
Track record
Reads here have been right 42% of 43 calls (5-day horizon).
Read changes if
Wrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Measured context, not a price prediction or order. You always decide.

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DXY

DXY / USD strength

index
99.68▲ 0.52% today
Need evidenceChart leans down4 of 5 timeframes rising — aligned up
52%model scoreLow conviction1D descriptive chart read

What the agents think

Need evidence: Required market, cost, or validation evidence is missing. Strategy: Strategy Research Pipeline. Net-positive-return probability: Not established.

Bearish read on DXY: down trend with strength 0.72 (ADX 41). Backtested hit rate for this signal grade is about 52% over 5 days.

Reasons it could go up: Confirmation improves if DXY / USD strength holds above near-term support while dependency conflicts fade.

Reasons it could go down: The setup weakens if macro drivers reverse or price closes through the invalidation level.

Chart read changes if: Wrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

What would this cost me?

What would this cost me?

If DXY / USD strength reached 99.9506, the idea is wrong and you would be out. This works out what that costs on your account. Nothing here is a recommendation to take the trade — it is the price of being wrong.

Before you act — the A+ check

A+ setup check

Run down the checklist before you act on DXY / USD strength. This is discipline, not a signal — a green gate means you aren’t forcing the trade, not that it will win.

  1. I wrote why the idea is wrong at 99.9506
  2. Reward:risk is at least :1
    This read has no target price, so reward:risk can't be computed. Treat that as a reason for caution, not a pass.
  3. I sized from risk, not from gut

0 of 2 checks — this is a B-setup. The edge is in passing on these. Trades are like buses; another comes along.

What might happen next

Continuation

What to monitor
Price respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.

Invalidation

What to monitor
Wrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Markets that move with this one

USYUS2Y · moves loosely in the same direction · measured from live dataSeeREALREALYIELDS · moves loosely in the same direction · measured from live dataSeeRISKRISK · confirming · assumed link, not measuredSeeXAUXAUUSD · moves loosely in opposite directionsSee

Want the numbers behind this? Switch to Pro in the top bar for charts, agent scores, and levels — or ask the agents to run a fresh analysis.

Ask the agents

DXY / USD strength

← All marketsSwitch to Pro in the top bar for full charts, levels & agent scores
Need evidence: DXY / USD strengthChart leans down on the 1D chart
99.68▲ 0.52% today

Bearish read on DXY: down trend with strength 0.72 (ADX 41). Backtested hit rate for this signal grade is about 52% over 5 days.

Strategy Research Pipeline

Required market, cost, or validation evidence is missing.

4 of 5 timeframes rising — aligned up

15M risingADX 42.1 · 42%30M risingADX 56.5 · 90%1H risingADX 36.1 · 73%4H risingADX 26.1 · 60%1D fallingADX 41 · 73%

The 15m, 30m, 1H and 4H charts are all moving against the daily downtrend right now. The call is wrong if price closes above 99.9506 or the daily trend gate drops.

Directional model score52%
ConvictionLow conviction
Backtest hit proxy~52%
Agents agreeing71%
Positive net returnNot established
Right here lately42% of 43 calls
Descriptive chart read changes ifWrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.
Ask the agents to dig deeper Save as setup

Price chart1D · Trending (ADX 41)

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Overlays🔒 Core

Why the agents think this

Reasons it could go up

Confirmation improves if DXY / USD strength holds above near-term support while dependency conflicts fade.

Reasons it could go down

The setup weakens if macro drivers reverse or price closes through the invalidation level.

This idea is wrong if

Wrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

What changed recently

Bias and directional model score now come from the deterministic advisor read. Evidence status separately controls whether any setup is actionable.

What might happen next

Continuation

Price respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.

Invalidation

Wrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Want every agent’s score, key support/resistance levels, and the cross-market signals behind this read? Switch to Pro in the top bar for the full desk.

AI analysis to study, not orders to follow. You always decide — and never risk money you can’t afford to lose.

What would this cost me?

If DXY / USD strength reached 99.9506, the idea is wrong and you would be out. This works out what that costs on your account. Nothing here is a recommendation to take the trade — it is the price of being wrong.

A+ setup check

Run down the checklist before you act on DXY / USD strength. This is discipline, not a signal — a green gate means you aren’t forcing the trade, not that it will win.

  1. I wrote why the idea is wrong at 99.9506
  2. Reward:risk is at least :1
    This read has no target price, so reward:risk can't be computed. Treat that as a reason for caution, not a pass.
  3. I sized from risk, not from gut

0 of 2 checks — this is a B-setup. The edge is in passing on these. Trades are like buses; another comes along.

Evidence Decision

Need evidence

Required market, cost, or validation evidence is missing.

Directional model score52%
Agent agreement71%
Cross-market confirmation39%
Cross-market conflict10%
Strategy and stage

Strategy Research Pipeline · researching

Positive net return

Not established

Net expectancy

Not established

Open evidence gates

replacement strategy candidate

Bull case

Confirmation improves if DXY / USD strength holds above near-term support while dependency conflicts fade.

Bear case

The setup weakens if macro drivers reverse or price closes through the invalidation level.

Chart read changes if

Wrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

What changed

Bias and directional model score now come from the deterministic advisor read. Evidence status separately controls whether any setup is actionable.

Your Risk

What would this cost me?

If DXY / USD strength reached 99.9506, the idea is wrong and you would be out. This works out what that costs on your account. Nothing here is a recommendation to take the trade — it is the price of being wrong.

Before You Act

A+ setup check

Run down the checklist before you act on DXY / USD strength. This is discipline, not a signal — a green gate means you aren’t forcing the trade, not that it will win.

  1. I wrote why the idea is wrong at 99.9506
  2. Reward:risk is at least :1
    This read has no target price, so reward:risk can't be computed. Treat that as a reason for caution, not a pass.
  3. I sized from risk, not from gut
  4. I have at least 2 independent confirmations and checked event/liquidity risk
  5. I'm at my A-game today

0 of 4 checks — this is a B-setup. The edge is in passing on these. Trades are like buses; another comes along.

Institutional analytics

Research analytics, non-executing by design

Market detail views surface data traceability and scenario context for the selected symbol.

Portfolio risk

Exposure, leverage, concentration, and drawdown analytics are built on versioned market data. Values appear only when they trace to a trusted dataset — nothing is estimated for display.

Factors and scenarios

Factor exposures and stress scenarios are computed only where a measured data source exists, and every shock definition is stated explicitly.

Execution quality

Spread, slippage, and other cost analytics stay educational until measured cost evidence passes deterministic checks.

Every displayed value must trace to a versioned market-data source. Sizing and setup content stays educational and non-executing; this platform never places trades.

Scenario Prompts

ContinuationPrice respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.
InvalidationWrong if price closes above 99.9506 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Model Score Trend

Waiting for history

Directional model score across recent runs. This is not a probability of profit.

Technicals

as of 2026-08-27
52-week range position57.8% · -2.59% off the high0% = at the low 95.55, 100% = at the high 101.80
Today vs its own history-0.01% · 3th percentile0.12× its typical daily move (outlier-robust z)
Volatility rank5th percentile20d realized vs 5y of dailies · currently 0.281%/day
Path quality (20 bars)loose trendR² 0.631 · slope -0.0585%/bar — high R² means the arrow is trustworthy
Closing streak1 day downconsecutive daily closes in one direction
Expected move (1σ)±0.281% / day · ±0.629% / 5dabout 2 in 3 similar periods stay inside; realized close-to-close vol (30d), sqrt-of-time scaling

Pivot levels from 2026-08-26

R399.63H499.35
R299.43H399.26
R199.30P 99.10
S198.97
S298.77L399.08
S398.64L498.99
Classic (left) and Camarilla (right) — arithmetic on the prior session, not predictions.

Distance from averages

SMA20-0.354% (-0.89 ATR)
SMA50-1.267% (-3.21 ATR)
SMA200-0.006% (-0.02 ATR)

Typical session ranges

Asia (22–07 UTC)0.167% · n=23
London (07–13 UTC)0.238% · n=23
New York (13–21 UTC)0.306% · n=23
London–NY overlap (13–16 UTC)0.235% · n=23
hourly bars, ~1 month

Monthly tendency

About 5 yearly samples per month — a tendency at best, never a signal.

Source: DX-Y.NYB via Yahoo chart API (daily, 5y). Descriptive measurements, not signals or advice.

Agent Breakdown

4 agents
AgentBiasModel scoreAssessmentKey Levels
Technical agentbearish52%DXY / USD strength technical structure is bearish inside a Trending (ADX 41) regime.Invalidation: 1H close above 100.28ATR 0.518S 99.08 / 98.78R 100.28 / 100.68
News / sentiment agentbearish44%DXY / USD strength macro tone is primarily driven by dollar strength, event risk, and rate expectations.conf adj 0.040—
Regime / correlation agentbearish50%Measured moderate inverse correlation with XAUUSD (-0.4846); regime classified as Trending (ADX 41).regime Trending (ADX 41)stability 0.725corr regime calmrolling ρ -0.485driver XAUUSD—
Risk agentneutral78%Risk checks are within normal operating thresholds.disagreement 0.476—