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ETH/USD

cryptoTrending (ADX 44)
2505.61+2.15%
Delayed · Actual · coinbase_candles · as of 8/30/2026, 8:16:51 PM UTC
Need evidenceChart leans up1D chart53% model scoreLow conviction~53% backtest hit proxyLive chart read87% agreementagents right 52% here

4 of 5 timeframes rising — aligned up

15M risingADX 40 · 67%30M risingADX 43.7 · 84%1H risingADX 40 · 73%4H sidewaysADX 26.1 · 47%1D risingADX 44 · 85%

The 15m, 30m and 1H charts agree with the daily uptrend; the 4H chart is sideways.

Session VWAP 2,485.2 · price 1.18% above · buyers in control (34 closes) · 15m bars, today's session — chart context, not a signal

Bullish read on ETHUSD: up trend with strength 0.85 (ADX 44). Backtested hit rate for this signal grade is about 53% over 5 days.

Path: clean trend (R² 0.825).

Run deeper analysisSave as setup

Price Chart

Trending (ADX 44)
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Overlays🔒 Core

Yellow cone: the ±1σ expected range fanning forward from now, widening with √time over the next 5 sessions (from realized volatility). It answers “where” as a range, not a direction — about 1 in 3 moves ends OUTSIDE it, so it is a range to study, not a boundary or a target.

In the news

23 recent stories about this market this week — tone is mostly positive.

News describes the mood of coverage, not a buy or sell call.

News & Events

23 new · 7 days
This weekmostly positive23 novel stories
Today
mixed / neutral
2 stories
Events
0
earnings-related
Repeats
0
filtered in 7d

News measures coverage tone, not price direction. News tone and event context only — not a trade signal. Tone measures how stories read, not what price should do.

The Read

ETH/USD: Trending (ADX 44). Likely range over the next 5 sessions is about 2,306.63–2,703.57. Bullish lean, low conviction. This is context, not a prediction.

The Read

ETH/USD
Current lean
Bullish lean · Low conviction
Expected range
2,306.63–2,703.575 sessions · ±7.923%
Market state
Trending (ADX 44) · aligned
Track record
Reads here have been right 52% of 25 calls (5-day horizon).
Read changes if
Wrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Measured context, not a price prediction or order. You always decide.

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ETH

ETH/USD

crypto
2505.61▲ 2.15% today
Need evidenceChart leans up4 of 5 timeframes rising — aligned up
53%model scoreLow conviction1D descriptive chart read

What the agents think

Need evidence: Required market, cost, or validation evidence is missing. Strategy: Strategy Research Pipeline. Net-positive-return probability: Not established.

Bullish read on ETHUSD: up trend with strength 0.85 (ADX 44). Backtested hit rate for this signal grade is about 53% over 5 days.

Reasons it could go up: Confirmation improves if ETH/USD holds above near-term support while dependency conflicts fade.

Reasons it could go down: The setup weakens if macro drivers reverse or price closes through the invalidation level.

Chart read changes if: Wrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

What would this cost me?

What would this cost me?

If ETH/USD reached 2325.5198, the idea is wrong and you would be out. This works out what that costs on your account. Nothing here is a recommendation to take the trade — it is the price of being wrong.

Before you act — the A+ check

A+ setup check

Run down the checklist before you act on ETH/USD. This is discipline, not a signal — a green gate means you aren’t forcing the trade, not that it will win.

  1. I wrote why the idea is wrong at 2325.5198
  2. Reward:risk is at least :1
    This read has no target price, so reward:risk can't be computed. Treat that as a reason for caution, not a pass.
  3. I sized from risk, not from gut

0 of 2 checks — this is a B-setup. The edge is in passing on these. Trades are like buses; another comes along.

What might happen next

Continuation

What to monitor
Price respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.

Invalidation

What to monitor
Wrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Markets that move with this one

BTCBTCUSD · moves strongly in the same direction · their prices tend to stay tetheredSeeETHBETHBTC · strongly confirming · assumed link, not measuredSeeETHTETH_TVL · confirming · assumed link, not measuredSeeSTAKSTAKING_SPREAD · neutral · assumed link, not measuredSee

Want the numbers behind this? Switch to Pro in the top bar for charts, agent scores, and levels — or ask the agents to run a fresh analysis.

Ask the agents

ETH/USD

← All marketsSwitch to Pro in the top bar for full charts, levels & agent scores
Need evidence: ETH/USDChart leans up on the 1D chart
2505.61▲ 2.15% today

Bullish read on ETHUSD: up trend with strength 0.85 (ADX 44). Backtested hit rate for this signal grade is about 53% over 5 days.

Strategy Research Pipeline

Required market, cost, or validation evidence is missing.

4 of 5 timeframes rising — aligned up

15M risingADX 40 · 67%30M risingADX 43.7 · 84%1H risingADX 40 · 73%4H sidewaysADX 26.1 · 47%1D risingADX 44 · 85%

The 15m, 30m and 1H charts agree with the daily uptrend; the 4H chart is sideways.

Directional model score53%
ConvictionLow conviction
Backtest hit proxy~53%
Agents agreeing87%
Positive net returnNot established
Right here lately52% of 25 calls
Descriptive chart read changes ifWrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.
Ask the agents to dig deeper Save as setup

Price chart1D · Trending (ADX 44)

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Overlays🔒 Core

Why the agents think this

Reasons it could go up

Confirmation improves if ETH/USD holds above near-term support while dependency conflicts fade.

Reasons it could go down

The setup weakens if macro drivers reverse or price closes through the invalidation level.

This idea is wrong if

Wrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

What changed recently

Bias and directional model score now come from the deterministic advisor read. Evidence status separately controls whether any setup is actionable.

What might happen next

Continuation

Price respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.

Invalidation

Wrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Want every agent’s score, key support/resistance levels, and the cross-market signals behind this read? Switch to Pro in the top bar for the full desk.

AI analysis to study, not orders to follow. You always decide — and never risk money you can’t afford to lose.

What would this cost me?

If ETH/USD reached 2325.5198, the idea is wrong and you would be out. This works out what that costs on your account. Nothing here is a recommendation to take the trade — it is the price of being wrong.

A+ setup check

Run down the checklist before you act on ETH/USD. This is discipline, not a signal — a green gate means you aren’t forcing the trade, not that it will win.

  1. I wrote why the idea is wrong at 2325.5198
  2. Reward:risk is at least :1
    This read has no target price, so reward:risk can't be computed. Treat that as a reason for caution, not a pass.
  3. I sized from risk, not from gut

0 of 2 checks — this is a B-setup. The edge is in passing on these. Trades are like buses; another comes along.

Evidence Decision

Need evidence

Required market, cost, or validation evidence is missing.

Directional model score53%
Agent agreement87%
Cross-market confirmation63%
Cross-market conflict0%
Strategy and stage

Strategy Research Pipeline · researching

Positive net return

Not established

Net expectancy

Not established

Open evidence gates

replacement strategy candidate

Bull case

Confirmation improves if ETH/USD holds above near-term support while dependency conflicts fade.

Bear case

The setup weakens if macro drivers reverse or price closes through the invalidation level.

Chart read changes if

Wrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

What changed

Bias and directional model score now come from the deterministic advisor read. Evidence status separately controls whether any setup is actionable.

Your Risk

What would this cost me?

If ETH/USD reached 2325.5198, the idea is wrong and you would be out. This works out what that costs on your account. Nothing here is a recommendation to take the trade — it is the price of being wrong.

Before You Act

A+ setup check

Run down the checklist before you act on ETH/USD. This is discipline, not a signal — a green gate means you aren’t forcing the trade, not that it will win.

  1. I wrote why the idea is wrong at 2325.5198
  2. Reward:risk is at least :1
    This read has no target price, so reward:risk can't be computed. Treat that as a reason for caution, not a pass.
  3. I sized from risk, not from gut
  4. I have at least 2 independent confirmations and checked event/liquidity risk
  5. I'm at my A-game today

0 of 4 checks — this is a B-setup. The edge is in passing on these. Trades are like buses; another comes along.

Institutional analytics

Research analytics, non-executing by design

Market detail views surface data traceability and scenario context for the selected symbol.

Portfolio risk

Exposure, leverage, concentration, and drawdown analytics are built on versioned market data. Values appear only when they trace to a trusted dataset — nothing is estimated for display.

Factors and scenarios

Factor exposures and stress scenarios are computed only where a measured data source exists, and every shock definition is stated explicitly.

Execution quality

Spread, slippage, and other cost analytics stay educational until measured cost evidence passes deterministic checks.

Every displayed value must trace to a versioned market-data source. Sizing and setup content stays educational and non-executing; this platform never places trades.

Scenario Prompts

ContinuationPrice respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.
InvalidationWrong if price closes below 2325.52 (2x ATR) or the trend gate drops.

Model Score Trend

Waiting for history

Directional model score across recent runs. This is not a probability of profit.

Technicals

as of 2026-08-30
52-week range position52.8% · -26.27% off the high0% = at the low 1506.51, 100% = at the high 3397.90
Today vs its own history+2.561% · 71th percentile1.15× its typical daily move (outlier-robust z)
Volatility rank77th percentile20d realized vs 5y of dailies · currently 3.543%/day
Path quality (20 bars)clean trendR² 0.825 · slope +2.0341%/bar — high R² means the arrow is trustworthy
Closing streak1 day upconsecutive daily closes in one direction
Expected move (1σ)±3.543% / day · ±7.923% / 5dabout 2 in 3 similar periods stay inside; realized close-to-close vol (30d), sqrt-of-time scaling

Pivot levels from 2026-08-28

R32640.08H42511.44
R22587.05H32476.99
R12514.79P 2461.76
S12389.50
S22336.47L32408.08
S32264.21L42373.63
Classic (left) and Camarilla (right) — arithmetic on the prior session, not predictions.

Distance from averages

SMA20+14.259% (+3.29 ATR)
SMA50+24.899% (+5.26 ATR)
SMA200+23.984% (+5.1 ATR)

Typical session ranges

Asia (22–07 UTC)1.663% · n=31
London (07–13 UTC)1.488% · n=31
New York (13–21 UTC)2.527% · n=31
London–NY overlap (13–16 UTC)1.682% · n=31
hourly bars, ~1 month

Monthly tendency

About 5 yearly samples per month — a tendency at best, never a signal.

Source: ETH-USD via Yahoo chart API (daily, 5y). Descriptive measurements, not signals or advice.

Agent Breakdown

4 agents
AgentBiasModel scoreAssessmentKey Levels
Technical agentbullish53%ETH/USD technical structure is bullish inside a Trending (ADX 44) regime.Invalidation: 1H close below 2490.58ATR 53.87⚠ event or volatility riskS 2490.58 / 2483.1R 2520.64 / 2530.73
News / sentiment agentbullish45%ETH/USD is scored through BTC beta, macro liquidity, stablecoin liquidity, relative rotation, and leverage risk.conf adj -0.070—
Regime / correlation agentbullish51%Measured strong positive correlation with BTCUSD (0.881); regime classified as Trending (ADX 44).regime Trending (ADX 44)stability 0.726corr regime calmrolling ρ 0.881driver BTCUSD—
Risk agentneutral62%Position sizing should be reduced until event and volatility risk normalizes.disagreement 0.472⚠ reduced size⚠ monitor event window—